Dairy Products and Alternatives in Asia Pacific

December 2023

After the pandemic resulted in declining sales in China in both 2020 and 2022, the macroeconomic challenges this country was experiencing meant sales continued falling in 2023. With China being the region’s biggest market, this was impacting the overall regional performance. India, on the other hand, continued to see dynamic growth, helping to offset the declining Chinese sales. Positive growth is expected throughout the forecast period in Asia Pacific.

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Key findings

Baby food in decline

Although baby food is growing in much of Asia Pacific, it continues to decline in China and Japan, due to the falling birth rates in these countries. With China dominating regional sales of baby food, it has a major impact on the overall Asia Pacific performance, which is expected to remain in negative territory over the forecast period.

Health benefits a key marketing tool in Japan

Manufacturers in dairy products and alternatives are launching more products with health benefits in Japan, trying to redouble their efforts to provide added benefits beyond the ordinary functions of products, such as yoghurt with the claim of improving brain function or drinking milk products claimed to reducing body fat.

New national standards for milk formula in China

New national standards for milk formula were formally implemented in China in 2023. They set out more explicit and stringent provisions concerning the composition of protein, carbohydrates, trace elements and other ingredients in such products. These standards are thought likely to lead to a greater concentration of the market in the hands of fewer, larger players and the phasing out of many small and medium-sized producers.

New players entering the market in India

As the shift towards organised dairy has accelerated in recent years in India, boosted by the pandemic and the need for hygienic packaged food products, the number of players in the industry has also been increasing. Many start-ups and companies from other industries have expanded their portfolios to include dairy products and alternatives, such as bakery specialist Britannia or wine company Fratelli.

Scope
Key findings
Asia Pacific has the highest sales of dairy products and alternatives
Positive growth forecast throughout the 2023-2028 period
High baby food sales in Asia Pacific given the large number of births in India and China
Strong growth in Indonesian plant-based dairy over the review period
India records major new sales in dairy over the 2018-2023 period
Dairy categories the main contributors to new sales in 2018-2023
Falling birth rate negatively impacting baby food sales in China
Small local grocers still the main distribution channel in Asia Pacific
Very high sales of baby food through retail e-commerce in South Korea
Competitive landscape becoming more concentrated in China
Chinese players losing share due to their declining domestic market
Nestlé, Danone and Royal FrieslandCampina present across much of the region
Yili continues to top the rankings in Asia Pacific
Positive growth expected throughout the forecast period
Declining birth rates will impact baby food sales in China and Japan
China: Market Context
China: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Hong Kong, China: Market Context
Hong Kong, China: Competitive and Retail Landscape
India: Market Context
India: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Indonesia: Market Context
Indonesia: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Japan: Market Context
Japan: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Malaysia: Market Context
Malaysia: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Pakistan: Market Context
Pakistan: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Philippines: Market Context
Philippines: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Singapore: Market Context
Singapore: Competitive and Retail Landscape
South Korea: Market Context
South Korea: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Taiwan: Market Context
Taiwan: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Thailand: Market Context
Thailand: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Vietnam: Market Context
Vietnam: Competitive and Retail Landscape
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