Nigeria

Amidst economic challenges and escalated retail prices, there is a rising trend among Nigerian consumers to frequent fast food outlets, increasingly serving as channels for on-trade consumption. This growing consumer behaviour significantly…

The year 2023 witnessed a wave of new launches in energy drinks. Cway Food & Beverages Co Nig introduced Boxi Energy Drink, positioned as a health-conscious energy beverage, devoid of caffeine and other potentially unhealthy stimulants. Available in…

Concentrates has seen limited new product development recently, primarily due to stiff competition from affordable ready-to-drink juice and soft drink brands. Brands like Tang (Cadbury Nigeria Plc) and Kool2Go (Flour Mills of Nigeria Plc) faced…

Young adults are the primary consumers of carbonates in Nigeria, although adults also contribute to consumption. Despite economic challenges, a significant portion of the population, consumes two bottles of soft drinks per day on average. The…

Modern fast food outlets scattered across Nigeria significantly contribute to on-trade bottled water sales. Restaurants, canteens, food shacks, and bars remain vital channels for on-trade volume sales of bottled water. However, off-trade sales…

Unilever Nigeria Plc maintains its stronghold in tea sales for 2023, primarily owing to its dominant share in black tea, the largest product area within tea. A household name, Lipton, has sustained its relevance through innovative strategies and…

Nestlé Nigeria Plc dominates retail value sales in 2023. The company achieved this milestone by leveraging its expansive and efficient distribution network, allowing its Milo brand to penetrate remote rural areas across the country. Milo has become a…

In 2023, coffee experienced the most significant surge in volume sales, largely attributed to urbanisation and the evolution of corporate working environments. As Nigerians adopt busier routines and structured work hours, coffee has emerged as a…

Nestlé Nigeria Plc has emerged as a frontrunner in retail coffee sales for the year 2023. The company's exceptional dominance is attributed to its expansive and efficient distribution network, which has facilitated the widespread availability of its…

Staple foods saw a decline in both retail and foodservice volume sales in 2023, despite most categories being considered essential by local consumers. Poor economic conditions, exceptionally high inflation and limited consumer spending power forced…

Amid adverse economic conditions, rice, pasta and noodles registered a decline in volume terms in 2023. In particular, relatively high inflation and fuel price hikes limited consumer spending power while unit prices across all brands accelerated. The…

Processed meat, seafood and alternatives to meat in Nigeria saw significant decline in volume terms in 2023 due to unfavourable economic conditions. High inflation as a result of a depreciated local currency, hikes in fuel prices, and a Federal…

Processed fruit and vegetables saw sharp volume decline in both retail and foodservice terms in 2023 as high inflation caused by local currency depreciation, Federal Government demonetisation policies and fuel price hikes led to substantial increases…

Breakfast cereals recorded a substantial decline in retail and foodservice volume sales in 2023 due to adverse economic conditions and high inflation. Besides local currency depreciation, there was a cash shortage caused by a Federal Government…

Baked goods recorded a decline in retail and foodservice volume sales in 2023 as a result of unfavourable economic conditions throughout the year. While the category has continued to struggle with the negative impact of the Ukraine conflict on wheat…

Sweet spreads recorded a strong volume decline in 2023, having already experienced decline in 2022. Inflationary conditions caused by depreciation of the local currency as well as sharp rises in fuel prices and a Federal Government demonetisation…

Sauces, dips, and condiments declined notably in volume terms in 2023 despite the essential status of many of the products in the category. Higher prices caused largely by the deprecation of the local currency had a negative impact on volume and…

Meals and soups declined in volume terms in 2023 following a strong negative decline in 2022. This remains a relatively niche category in Nigeria and is widely considered non-essential. Consequently, as consumers focused on essentials and sought to…

Edible oils declined in volume terms in 2023, following only weak volume growth in 2022. Inflationary conditions that had been strong in 2022 worsened in 2023 due to the continuing depreciation of the local currency, a government policy of…

Cooking ingredients and meals saw a relatively strong decline in 2023 despite the fact that its major categories consist of several products that are central to consumer diets and even considered to be essential. Inflationary pressures, which had…

Nigeria remains a mainly cash-driven society, though debit card usage is growing. Pre-paid cards, however, are not a popular option, and while the number of cards is expected to increase, constant transaction value is expected to fall in 2023, as…

Nigeria continues to be a cash economy, though debit cards in particular are growing in popularity. Also, in 2023, this growth was further amplified, due to a cash shortage, as there was insufficient supply of the newly designed naira. As a result,…

While Nigeria still mainly operates with cash, debit cards are the most popular financial card and continue to gain further penetration and in 2023, both number of cards and transaction values are expected to increase, with a double-digit constant…

Most banks perceive credit cards as high risk due to experiencing frequent default rates in the past. As such, credit cards continue to be relatively scarce in Nigeria, with mainly high net-worth individuals owning credit cards. Also, due to the…

Gross consumer lending is expected to register growth in 2023, but with inflation continuing to be very high, it will not go far in terms of consumer spending. A new government has implemented some difficult decisions in order to stabilise the…

A new government inherited a sluggish economy, record debt and shrinking oil output, due to creaking infrastructure. On foot of this, the government has implemented some difficult decisions in order to stabilise the economy, including ending a…

Yoghurt and sour milk products experience positive volume growth in 2023 despite prevailing economic challenges. The product area bounces back from negative volume growth observed in 2022, attributed to inflationary conditions that affected both…

In 2023, plant-based dairy in Nigeria experiences a reduction in volume, continuing the trend from the substantial decline observed in 2022. Persistent inflationary conditions in 2023 influence both consumer affordability and unit pricing. Despite…

Other dairy observes a marginal volume increase in 2023, rebounding from a notable decline experienced in 2022. Despite the persistently high inflationary conditions that contributed to the volume reduction in 2022, the growth rate in 2023 remains…

Volume sales for drinking milk products decrease notably in 2023, albeit at a considerably slower rate than experienced in 2022 when the decline was much more pronounced. Nevertheless, the prevailing inflationary conditions continue to impact demand…

Dairy products and alternatives experience an overall decline in volume terms in 2023 as challenging economic conditions limit consumer spending power. In particular, high inflation driven by depreciation of the local currency, increasing fuel costs,…

Cheese, as a product area, witnesses a substantial volume decline in 2023, although the rate of decline is less steep in comparison to the pronounced contraction observed in 2022. This decline can be attributed to the ongoing impact of challenging…

Butter and spreads demonstrates improved volume growth in 2023 compared to the previous year, rebounding slightly after a decline in 2022. Despite this positive trend, the presence of persistently high inflationary conditions throughout 2023 hinders…

In 2023, baby food in Nigeria exhibits robust positive growth in terms of value, surpassing the figures recorded in 2022. However, the scenario is different in terms of volume sales, with all categories of baby food experiencing a decline. The…

Weakness in the rule of law is negatively impacting economic freedom in Nigeria, as does pervasive corruption. Significant reliance on the oil sector can lead to volatile economic development, whilst persistently high inflation is adversely affecting…

Wearables are expected to be the standout performer in 2023, registering double-digit volume growth and that is despite continuing high inflation and also significant currency devaluation, which is making imported products even more expensive.…

While media players and e-readers are expected to suffer volume decline, wireless speakers are expected to register a healthy increase in volume sales. Demand for these devices is due to their portability, and connectivity to smartphones, which…

Overall mobile phones are expected to register volume decline in 2023. Continuing elevated inflation and also a significant devaluation of the naira leads to a significant fall in consumer purchasing power. In particular, currency devaluation has…

In-car entertainment is expected to register further volume decline in 2023. There are several factors leading to the decline. Imports of cars is expected fall both for new and second-hard cars, as continuing elevated inflation and also a significant…

Several factors are expected to lead to a double-digit volume decline in imaging devices. Continuing elevated inflation and significant currency devaluation has reduced consumer purchasing power and in particular has made imported product more…

Home video is expected to register a fall in volume sales in 2023. Continued high inflation, as well as a significant devaluation of the naira, is expected to reduce consumer purchasing power further. In particular, currency devaluation has made…

Home audio and cinema is expected to register a fall in volume sales in 2023. Continued high inflation, as well as a significant devaluation of the naira, is expected to reduce consumer purchasing power further. As a result, consumers focus on…

Despite a difficult economic situation, with continuing elevated inflation and significant devaluation of the naira, headphones is expected to register volume growth. This is largely driven by the popularity of mass TWS earbuds, which is expected to…

The picture is expected to be bleak for consumer electronics in 2023, with overall volume sales expected to fall. A new government inherited a sluggish economy, record debt and shrinking oil output, due to creaking infrastructure. On foot of this,…

Despite population growth, computer and peripherals are expected to only register a marginal increase in volume sales in 2023. Continued high inflation, as well as a significant devaluation of the naira, is expected to reduce consumer purchasing…

Store cards had no presence in Nigeria over the review period. This is not expected to change over the forecast period. 

Charge cards had no presence in Nigeria over the review period. This is not expected to change over the forecast period. 

The adoption of less restrictive COVID-19 measures in 2021 allowed street stalls and hawkers to resume their activities. While the economic shock of lockdown measures led many consumers to be more conservative in their discretionary spending, demand…

The self-service cafeterias channel is not present in Nigeria and there are no signs that it will emerge over the forecast period.