Population

Standardised coverage and timely analysis of the future direction...

Standardised coverage and timely analysis of the future direction of key demographic indicators on themes such as age, urbanisation, ethnicity and migration.

Future Demographics

Kenya in 2040: The Future Demographic

Jul 2022

Population expansion Kenya in 2021-2040 will be driven exclusively by positive rates of natural change. While ageing will quicken over this timeframe, Kenya will remain an overwhelmingly young country and its expanding workforce has the potential to…

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Future Demographics

Kuwait in 2040: The Future Demographic

Aug 2022

Population expansion in Kuwait will be driven by positive natural increase and net migration up to 2040. Foreign citizens will continue to account for the majority of the population due to the country’s historic and continuing reliance on foreign…

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Future Demographics

Laos in 2040: The Future Demographic

Aug 2022

Rapid population expansion in Laos in 2021-2040 will be driven solely by positive rates of natural increase. Ageing will accelerate in the future, even though Laos will remain relatively young in a regional context due to its comparatively high birth…

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Future Demographics

Latin America in 2040: The Future Demographic

Apr 2024

Positive natural change will drive population growth across Latin America, as net migration remains negative. Ageing will remain a key trend, influenced by the falling birth rate and rising life expectancy. Urbanisation will continue, placing…

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Future Demographics

Latvia in 2040: The Future Demographic

May 2023

Natural decrease will be the main driver of depopulation in Latvia in 2021-2040. Low birth rates and climbing longevity will result in an acceleration of ageing, impacting consumers trends and placing an increasing burden on state resources. Latvia’s…

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Future Demographics

Lebanon in 2040: The Future Demographic

Feb 2024

Lebanon’s population is set to experience depopulation overall in 2021-2040, despite some growth after 2034. Strong rates of negative net migration, which will cancel out natural increase for most of timeframe, drive this trend. Ageing will be a key…

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Future Demographics

Lithuania in 2040: The Future Demographic

Feb 2023

After a brief period of expansion, depopulation will resume in Lithuania in 2023-2040, as net migration turns negative once more, and natural decrease continues. Ageing will accelerate, impacting consumer trends and placing increased pressure on…

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Future Demographics

Malaysia in 2040: The Future Demographic

Nov 2023

Swift population expansion in Malaysia in 2021-2040 will be mainly driven by natural increase, though positive net migration after 2022 will also contribute. Ageing will be a key theme, affecting consumer trends and putting further pressure on the…

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Future Demographics

Mexico in 2040: The Future Demographic

Mar 2024

Population growth in Mexico from 2021-2040 will be driven by positive natural change, as net migration continues to decline. Ageing will rise, with 65+ citizens increasingly impacting consumer trends. Rural citizens will continue to move to cities…

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Future Demographics

Middle East and Africa in 2040: The Future Demographic

Mar 2024

Population growth between 2021-2040 will be driven by positive natural change, as the region remains the second most populous in the world. Ongoing urbanisation will lead to growth in major cities while placing pressure on infrastructure, creating…

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Future Demographics

Morocco in 2040: The Future Demographic

Apr 2024

Population growth between 2021-2040 results from positive natural change as net migration remains negative. Rising living standards and healthcare improvements will increase life expectancy, while significant growth in the 65+ population will…

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Future Demographics

Netherlands in 2040: The Future Demographic

Jan 2024

Rapid population expansion in the Netherlands in 2021-2040 will be mainly driven by positive net migration rates. Ageing will remain a key trend, influenced by climbing longevity and low fertility rates, as older groups swell. Urbanisation will…

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Future Demographics

New Zealand in 2040: The Future Demographic

Apr 2024

Positive net migration and natural change will drive population growth in New Zealand from 2021 to 2040. Ageing will rise and shape demographics as quality healthcare and living standards boost the 65+ population. Improvements in city infrastructure…

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Future Demographics

Nigeria in 2040: The Future Demographic

May 2023

Nigeria will remain the largest regional country and one of the biggest globally, as its population continues to be boosted by high levels of natural increase in 2021-2040. The country will also remain one of the youngest globally due to high birth…

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Future Demographics

North Macedonia in 2040: The Future Demographic

Sep 2022

Depopulation is set to continue in North Macedonia up to 2040 due to natural decrease and negative net migration. As ageing occurs, consumer trends will be impacted and state resources will experience further pressure. Skopje will continue to be the…

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Future Demographics

Norway in 2040: The Future Demographic

Jun 2023

Strong population expansion in Norway in 2021-2040 will be driven by a combination of natural increase and net migration. Ageing will accelerate impacting consumer trends, while state resources will be further strained. Rapid urban growth will…

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Future Demographics

Oman in 2040: The Future Demographic

Mar 2024

The population increase in Oman from 2021-2040 will be driven by positive natural change, as births outweigh deaths. Improved living standards and healthcare will support ageing; however, the population 65+ will remain low, having limited impact on…

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Future Demographics

Panama in 2040: The Future Demographic

Mar 2024

The population increase in Panama from 2021 to 2040 will be driven by positive natural change, with births outweighing deaths. Improved living standards and the arrival of retired migrants will drive ageing, with the rise of a senior demographic…

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Future Demographics

Paraguay in 2040: The Future Demographic

Dec 2023

Natural increase will drive rapid population expansion in Paraguay in 2021-2040. Ageing will quicken; however, Paraguay will remain relatively young in terms of its median age. The country has the potential to benefit from a demographic dividend as…

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Future Demographics

Peru in 2040: The Future Demographic

Sep 2022

Natural increase will be the key driver of population expansion in Peru in 2021-2040. As the ageing trend accelerates consumer trends will be impacted and state resources will be put under further pressure. Urbanisation will continue at a rapid pace.…

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Future Demographics

Poland in 2040: The Future Demographic

Feb 2024

Depopulation in Poland from 2021-2040 will be the result of negative natural change, with rising death rates and reduced births. Ageing will continue, with almost a quarter of the population being 65+ by 2040. Women will increasingly aim to establish…

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Future Demographics

Portugal in 2040: The Future Demographic

Jun 2023

Natural decrease will drive depopulation in Portugal in 2021-2040, in spite of positive net migration. Ageing will hasten, affecting consumer trends and placing a further burden on state resources. Despite depopulation, Portugal should become…

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Future Demographics

Qatar in 2040: The Future Demographic

Jun 2023

In contrast to previous decades, natural increase will be the sole contributor to population expansion in Qatar in 2021-2040, as net migration rates remain neutral for much of the timeframe. Nevertheless, foreign citizens will continue to account for…

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Future Demographics

Romania in 2040: The Future Demographic

Dec 2022

Romania is set to experience continuing depopulation in 2021-2040 due to natural decrease and negative net migration. The population is set to age rapidly which will impact consumer trends and put further pressure on state resources. Urbanisation…

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Future Demographics

Saudi Arabia in 2040: The Future Demographic

Apr 2024

Positive natural change will drive population growth in Saudi Arabia from 2021 to 2040. Ageing will increase, influencing consumer trends and spending habits as quality healthcare boosts the 65+ population. Urbanisation will continue to be swift as…

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Future Demographics

Serbia in 2040: The Future Demographic

Feb 2024

Depopulation in Serbia from 2021-2040 will be the result of the rising death rate and reduced births. Improved living standards and declining births will see ageing continue, with over a quarter of the population being 65+ by 2040. The rural…

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Future Demographics

Singapore in 2040: The Future Demographic

Dec 2022

After a few years of decline, Singapore’s population will expand in 2023-2040 due to positive net migration, while natural increase will contribute up to 2033. Ageing will be a key demographic shift up to 2040 as the 80+ cohorts expand rapidly,…

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Future Demographics

Slovakia in 2040: The Future Demographic

Feb 2024

After peaking in 2024, Slovakia’s population is set to decline up to 2040, driven by natural decrease. Ageing will remain a key demographic theme as longevity climbs and birth rates drop overall, impacting consumer trends and putting more pressure on…

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Future Demographics

Slovenia in 2040: The Future Demographic

Mar 2024

Depopulation in Slovenia from 2021-2040 will be the consequence of the climbing death rate, partnered with a decline in births. Ageing will be a central theme shaping demographics, with rising living standards resulting in over a quarter of the…

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Future Demographics

South Africa in 2040: The Future Demographic

Aug 2022

Population expansion in South Africa will be propelled predominantly by natural increase up to 2040. Declining birth rates and rising longevity will encourage ageing; however, life expectancy will stay relatively low, and the country will remain…

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Future Demographics

South Korea in 2040: The Future Demographic

Jun 2023

After peaking in 2020, South Korea’s population will decline up to 2040 driven by natural decrease. Ageing will continue to be an important demographic theme, supported by low fertility and birth rates and climbing longevity, impacting consumer…

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Future Demographics

Spain in 2040: The Future Demographic

Feb 2024

The population increase in Spain from 2021 to 2040 will be driven by positive net migration, as natural change remains negative. Ageing will be a key trend, driven by high living standards and sufficient healthcare, leading to over a quarter of the…

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Future Demographics

Sri Lanka in 2040: The Future Demographic

Mar 2024

Population growth in Sri Lanka from 2021-2040 will be the result of rising life expectancy and positive natural change. Ageing will continue, with the population above 65 rising, while under 14s decline. Despite population growth, negative net…

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Future Demographics

Sweden in 2040: The Future Demographic

Mar 2023

Strong rates of net migration and natural increase will drive rapid population expansion in Sweden in 2021-2040. Ageing will accelerate over this timeframe as longevity climbs, but Sweden will remain younger than average in a regional context due to…

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Future Demographics

Switzerland in 2040: The Future Demographic

Mar 2023

In 2021-2040, net migration will be the main driver of population expansion in Switzerland. Ageing will accelerate up to 2040, as life expectancy rises and birth rates remain low, impacting consumer inclinations and placing further pressure on state…

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Future Demographics

Taiwan in 2040: The Future Demographic

Dec 2022

Depopulation in Taiwan up to 2040 will be driven by natural decrease as already low birth rates fall further and death rates rise. Rapid increases in older groups illustrates the ageing trend which will impact consumer lifestyles and spending habits,…

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Future Demographics

Tanzania in 2040: The Future Demographic

Oct 2023

Positive, yet declining, rates of natural change will drive population expansion in Tanzania in 2021-2040. Ageing will accelerate but the country will remain overwhelming young in a global context due to high fertility and birth rates. Urbanisation…

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Future Demographics

Thailand in 2040: The Future Demographic

Apr 2024

Negative natural change will drive depopulation across 2021-2040, with positive net migration unable to reverse this trend. Ageing will accelerate, impacting consumer spending habits as Thailand remains one of the oldest countries in the region.…

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Future Demographics

The Czech Republic in 2040: The Future Demographic

Oct 2022

The Czech Republic is set to experience depopulation from 2024-2040 as a result of natural decrease and negative net migration in 2023-2027. Rapid growth in older age groups and a dwindling workforce over this timeframe will impact consumer trends…

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Future Demographics

The Philippines in 2040: The Future Demographic

Sep 2022

Natural increase will drive rapid population expansion in the Philippines in 2021-2040. While the ageing trend will quicken, impacting consumer trends to some extent, the country will remain relatively young in a regional context. Swift urbanisation…

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Future Demographics

Tunisia in 2040: The Future Demographic

Dec 2023

Population expansion in Tunisia up to 2040 will be driven by natural increase in 2021-2040, as net migration remains negative. Ageing will be a key theme, impacting consumer trends and putting more pressure on state resources. Tunisia’s appeal as a…

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Future Demographics

Turkey in 2040: The Future Demographic

Feb 2024

Rising life expectancy and positive natural change will drive population growth in Turkey. Ageing will continue, with the population above 65 rising while under-14s decline. However, the large number of children in the country will make Turkey an…

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Future Demographics

Turkmenistan in 2040: The Future Demographic

Apr 2024

Positive natural change will drive population growth in Turkmenistan between 2021-2040, as births outweigh deaths in the country. Despite ongoing ageing, the senior population will remain small, and the country will retain a young median age.…

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Future Demographics

Uganda in 2040: The Future Demographic

Mar 2023

Uganda’s population will increase rapidly in 2021-2040 due to strong rates of natural increase. It will continue to be one of the youngest countries in the world due to high birth rates and low life expectancy. A huge surge in population should make…

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Future Demographics

Ukraine in 2040: The Future Demographic

Sep 2023

Ukraine’s population will plummet in 2021-2040 as a result of millions leaving the country in 2022-2024, following the commencement of the war, triggering a demographic crisis in the country. At the same time, natural increase will remain negative…

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Future Demographics

United Arab Emirates in 2040: The Future Demographic

Jul 2022

Population expansion in the United Arab Emirates in 2021-2040 will be slower than in previous decades due to net migration being low or negative. However, nearly nine in ten people will be foreign citizens in 2040 as reliance on foreign labour…

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Future Demographics

United Kingdom in 2040: The Future Demographic

Oct 2022

Population expansion in the UK will be driven by positive rates of net migration in 2021-2040 as natural change turns negative after 2028. Consumer trends will be impacted and state resources will be put under increasing pressure as the ageing trend…

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Future Demographics

Uruguay in 2040: The Future Demographic

Sep 2023

Negative net migration, accompanied by low or negative rates of natural change, will drive depopulation in Uruguay in 2021-2040. As birth rates fall and people live longer, ageing will hasten, impacting consumer trends and putting additional pressure…

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Future Demographics

USA in 2040: The Future Demographic

Apr 2024

Positive net migration rates and natural change will drive population expansion in the USA between 2021-2040. Ageing will remain a key theme, with the rise of 65+ citizens influencing consumer trends. However, the climbing old-age dependency ratio…

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Future Demographics

Uzbekistan in 2040: The Future Demographic

Mar 2024

High rates of natural increase will drive rapid population expansion in Uzbekistan in 2021-2040. Despite a stepping up of the ageing trend, Uzbekistan will continue to be a relatively young country on a regional level. Urbanisation will be swift, and…

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