Population

Standardised coverage and timely analysis of the future direction...

Standardised coverage and timely analysis of the future direction of key demographic indicators on themes such as age, urbanisation, ethnicity and migration.

Future Demographics

China in 2040: The Future Demographic

Jul 2022

After peaking in 2024, China’s population will decline up to 2040 as deaths overtake births. Rapid ageing, exacerbated by the legacy of the one child policy, will impact consumer trends and put further pressure on state resources. Urbanisation will…

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Future Demographics

United Arab Emirates in 2040: The Future Demographic

Jul 2022

Population expansion in the United Arab Emirates in 2021-2040 will be slower than in previous decades due to net migration being low or negative. However, nearly nine in ten people will be foreign citizens in 2040 as reliance on foreign labour…

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Future Demographics

Colombia in 2040: The Future Demographic

Jul 2022

Population growth in Colombia in 2021-2040 will be driven by positive rates of natural change. Ageing will accelerate, causing the population structure to become more top heavy, which will impact consumer trends and put more pressure on state…

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Future Demographics

Bolivia in 2040: The Future Demographic

Jul 2022

Rapid population growth in Bolivia in 2021-2040 will be driven by positive, yet declining, rates of natural increase. While the ageing trend will quicken, Bolivia will remain one of the younger regional countries due to relatively high birth rates…

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Future Demographics

Iran in 2040: The Future Demographic

Jul 2022

Population growth will be driven by natural increase as net migration rates remain negative in 2021-2040. The ageing trend is set to accelerate with rapid growth in the 70+ age cohorts. Consumer trends will transform, and state resources will come…

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Future Demographics

Kenya in 2040: The Future Demographic

Jul 2022

Population expansion Kenya in 2021-2040 will be driven exclusively by positive rates of natural change. While ageing will quicken over this timeframe, Kenya will remain an overwhelmingly young country and its expanding workforce has the potential to…

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Future Demographics

South Africa in 2040: The Future Demographic

Aug 2022

Population expansion in South Africa will be propelled predominantly by natural increase up to 2040. Declining birth rates and rising longevity will encourage ageing; however, life expectancy will stay relatively low, and the country will remain…

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Future Demographics

Kuwait in 2040: The Future Demographic

Aug 2022

Population expansion in Kuwait will be driven by positive natural increase and net migration up to 2040. Foreign citizens will continue to account for the majority of the population due to the country’s historic and continuing reliance on foreign…

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Future Demographics

Laos in 2040: The Future Demographic

Aug 2022

Rapid population expansion in Laos in 2021-2040 will be driven solely by positive rates of natural increase. Ageing will accelerate in the future, even though Laos will remain relatively young in a regional context due to its comparatively high birth…

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Future Demographics

North Macedonia in 2040: The Future Demographic

Sep 2022

Depopulation is set to continue in North Macedonia up to 2040 due to natural decrease and negative net migration. As ageing occurs, consumer trends will be impacted and state resources will experience further pressure. Skopje will continue to be the…

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Future Demographics

Peru in 2040: The Future Demographic

Sep 2022

Natural increase will be the key driver of population expansion in Peru in 2021-2040. As the ageing trend accelerates consumer trends will be impacted and state resources will be put under further pressure. Urbanisation will continue at a rapid pace.…

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Future Demographics

The Philippines in 2040: The Future Demographic

Sep 2022

Natural increase will drive rapid population expansion in the Philippines in 2021-2040. While the ageing trend will quicken, impacting consumer trends to some extent, the country will remain relatively young in a regional context. Swift urbanisation…

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Future Demographics

Venezuela in 2040: The Future Demographic

Oct 2022

Surging population expansion in Venezuela in 2021-2040 will be driven by natural increase, as well as positive net migration for most of the 2020s. While ageing will be a key trend impacting consumer behaviours to some extent, the country will remain…

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Future Demographics

United Kingdom in 2040: The Future Demographic

Oct 2022

Population expansion in the UK will be driven by positive rates of net migration in 2021-2040 as natural change turns negative after 2028. Consumer trends will be impacted and state resources will be put under increasing pressure as the ageing trend…

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Future Demographics

Dominican Republic in 2040: The Future Demographic

Oct 2022

Population expansion in the Dominican Republic will be driven by natural increase in 2021-2040. Ageing will be swift, impacting consumer trends and putting increased pressure on state resources to some extent. Fast urbanisation will result in over…

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Future Demographics

The Czech Republic in 2040: The Future Demographic

Oct 2022

The Czech Republic is set to experience depopulation from 2024-2040 as a result of natural decrease and negative net migration in 2023-2027. Rapid growth in older age groups and a dwindling workforce over this timeframe will impact consumer trends…

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Future Demographics

Egypt in 2040: The Future Demographic

Oct 2022

Population expansion in Egypt in 2021-2040 will be driven by natural increase. Despite rapid ageing, Egypt will remain relatively young in a global context. Urbanisation will continue to be swift, although urban population will still be below 50% by…

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Future Demographics

Hong Kong, China in 2040: The Future Demographic

Dec 2022

Population expansion in Hong Kong in most years up to 2040 will be driven by positive net migration. Ageing will be a key trend over this timeframe as life expectancy rises further and birth rates and fertility remain extremely low. Consumer trends…

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Future Demographics

Romania in 2040: The Future Demographic

Dec 2022

Romania is set to experience continuing depopulation in 2021-2040 due to natural decrease and negative net migration. The population is set to age rapidly which will impact consumer trends and put further pressure on state resources. Urbanisation…

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Future Demographics

Kazakhstan in 2040: The Future Demographic

Dec 2022

Kazakhstan’s population will experience rapid growth in 2021-2040 driven solely by elevated rates of natural increase. Despite the brisk expansion of older age cohorts, the country will get younger in terms of median age over the timeframe as…

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Future Demographics

Singapore in 2040: The Future Demographic

Dec 2022

After a few years of decline, Singapore’s population will expand in 2023-2040 due to positive net migration, while natural increase will contribute up to 2033. Ageing will be a key demographic shift up to 2040 as the 80+ cohorts expand rapidly,…

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Future Demographics

Taiwan in 2040: The Future Demographic

Dec 2022

Depopulation in Taiwan up to 2040 will be driven by natural decrease as already low birth rates fall further and death rates rise. Rapid increases in older groups illustrates the ageing trend which will impact consumer lifestyles and spending habits,…

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Future Demographics

Angola in 2040: The Future Demographic

Jan 2023

Extremely fast population expansion in Angola in 2021-2040 will be driven by strong rates of natural increase. Angola will remain one of the youngest countries globally as a result of very high fertility and birth rates, alongside relatively low life…

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Future Demographics

Austria in 2040: The Future Demographic

Jan 2023

Austria’s population is set to expand quickly in 2021-2040 determined by elevated rates of net migration. Like elsewhere in Europe, ageing will remain a key demographic trend, putting pressure on government resources and impacting consumer spending…

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Future Demographics

Belgium in 2040: The Future Demographic

Jan 2023

Positive net migration will be the main driver of strong population expansion in Belgium in 2021-2040. Ageing will continue to be a key demographic theme, affecting consumer trends and placing a burden on state resources. Urbanisation will be swift…

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Future Demographics

Finland in 2040: The Future Demographic

Feb 2023

While Finland will expand overall in 2021-2040, its population is set to decline from 2035 onwards when positive net migration rates will no longer be able to mitigate natural decrease. Ageing will impact consumer trends and state resources will be…

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Future Demographics

Cameroon in 2040: The Future Demographic

Feb 2023

Strong rates of natural increase will drive rapid population expansion in Cameroon in 2021-2040, despite negative net migration over the timeframe. Despite following an ageing trend, Cameroon will remain an extremely young country due to its high…

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Future Demographics

Lithuania in 2040: The Future Demographic

Feb 2023

After a brief period of expansion, depopulation will resume in Lithuania in 2023-2040, as net migration turns negative once more, and natural decrease continues. Ageing will accelerate, impacting consumer trends and placing increased pressure on…

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Future Demographics

Sweden in 2040: The Future Demographic

Mar 2023

Strong rates of net migration and natural increase will drive rapid population expansion in Sweden in 2021-2040. Ageing will accelerate over this timeframe as longevity climbs, but Sweden will remain younger than average in a regional context due to…

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Future Demographics

Switzerland in 2040: The Future Demographic

Mar 2023

In 2021-2040, net migration will be the main driver of population expansion in Switzerland. Ageing will accelerate up to 2040, as life expectancy rises and birth rates remain low, impacting consumer inclinations and placing further pressure on state…

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Future Demographics

Uganda in 2040: The Future Demographic

Mar 2023

Uganda’s population will increase rapidly in 2021-2040 due to strong rates of natural increase. It will continue to be one of the youngest countries in the world due to high birth rates and low life expectancy. A huge surge in population should make…

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Future Demographics

Croatia in 2040: The Future Demographic

Mar 2023

Further depopulation in Croatia in 2021-2040 will be driven by a combination of natural decrease and negative net migration. Ageing, illustrated by rapid growth in older cohorts, will affect consumer trends and place more pressure on state resources.…

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Future Demographics

Greece in 2040: The Future Demographic

Apr 2023

Ongoing depopulation in Greece in 2021-2040 will be driven mainly by natural decrease as birth rates remain low. Ageing will affect consumer trends and add to pressure on state resources. Athens will remain the key consumer market, despite shrinking…

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Future Demographics

Hungary in 2040: The Future Demographic

Apr 2023

Continuing depopulation in Hungary in 2021-2040 will be driven by natural decrease. Ageing will accelerate, affecting consumer trends and putting pressure on state finances. Urbanisation will quicken and Budapest will continue to be the most populous…

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Future Demographics

Latvia in 2040: The Future Demographic

May 2023

Natural decrease will be the main driver of depopulation in Latvia in 2021-2040. Low birth rates and climbing longevity will result in an acceleration of ageing, impacting consumers trends and placing an increasing burden on state resources. Latvia’s…

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Future Demographics

Nigeria in 2040: The Future Demographic

May 2023

Nigeria will remain the largest regional country and one of the biggest globally, as its population continues to be boosted by high levels of natural increase in 2021-2040. The country will also remain one of the youngest globally due to high birth…

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Future Demographics

Portugal in 2040: The Future Demographic

Jun 2023

Natural decrease will drive depopulation in Portugal in 2021-2040, in spite of positive net migration. Ageing will hasten, affecting consumer trends and placing a further burden on state resources. Despite depopulation, Portugal should become…

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Future Demographics

Norway in 2040: The Future Demographic

Jun 2023

Strong population expansion in Norway in 2021-2040 will be driven by a combination of natural increase and net migration. Ageing will accelerate impacting consumer trends, while state resources will be further strained. Rapid urban growth will…

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Future Demographics

Qatar in 2040: The Future Demographic

Jun 2023

In contrast to previous decades, natural increase will be the sole contributor to population expansion in Qatar in 2021-2040, as net migration rates remain neutral for much of the timeframe. Nevertheless, foreign citizens will continue to account for…

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Future Demographics

South Korea in 2040: The Future Demographic

Jun 2023

After peaking in 2020, South Korea’s population will decline up to 2040 driven by natural decrease. Ageing will continue to be an important demographic theme, supported by low fertility and birth rates and climbing longevity, impacting consumer…

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Future Demographics

Israel in 2040: The Future Demographic

Jul 2023

Positive natural change is set to be the main driver of population expansion in Israel in 2021-2040. Ageing is set to accelerate further as the country remains one of the oldest regionally in terms of median age. Urbanisation will continue to be…

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Future Demographics

Cambodia in 2040: The Future Demographic

Aug 2023

Strong population growth in Cambodia up to 2040 will be driven solely by natural increase. Falling birth rates and increasing longevity mean that the ageing trend will quicken, however Cambodia will remain one of the youngest regional countries.…

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Future Demographics

Georgia in 2040: The Future Demographic

Sep 2023

Natural decrease and negative net migration will drive depopulation in Georgia in most years up to 2040. Rapid ageing will be illustrated by extreme growth in 70+ cohorts, impacting consumer trends and placing further pressure on state resources.…

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Future Demographics

Uruguay in 2040: The Future Demographic

Sep 2023

Negative net migration, accompanied by low or negative rates of natural change, will drive depopulation in Uruguay in 2021-2040. As birth rates fall and people live longer, ageing will hasten, impacting consumer trends and putting additional pressure…

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Future Demographics

Guatemala in 2040: The Future Demographic

Sep 2023

Rapid population expansion in Guatemala in 2021-2040 will be led by strong, yet declining, rates of natural change. Ageing is set to accelerate further, although Guatemala will continue to be young regionally due to historically high birth rates.…

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Future Demographics

Jordan in 2040: The Future Demographic

Sep 2023

Population expansion in Jordan in 2021-2040 will be driven by natural increase. The country will continue to be extremely diverse as the number of foreign citizens rises rapidly. A growing workforce could create opportunities if training and…

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Future Demographics

Ukraine in 2040: The Future Demographic

Sep 2023

Ukraine’s population will plummet in 2021-2040 as a result of millions leaving the country in 2022-2024, following the commencement of the war, triggering a demographic crisis in the country. At the same time, natural increase will remain negative…

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Future Demographics

Côte d'Ivoire in 2040: The Future Demographic

Oct 2023

Natural increase will be the key driver of population expansion in Côte d’Ivoire in 2021-2040. The country will continue to be one of the youngest globally in 2040, influenced by high birth rates and low life expectancy. Urbanisation will remain…

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Future Demographics

Ethiopia in 2040: The Future Demographic

Oct 2023

Robust population expansion in Ethiopia will be determined by natural increase in 2021-2040. While ageing will speed up, more than two-thirds of the population will be aged under 40 in 2040. Longevity will climb but many health challenges will…

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Future Demographics

Tanzania in 2040: The Future Demographic

Oct 2023

Positive, yet declining, rates of natural change will drive population expansion in Tanzania in 2021-2040. Ageing will accelerate but the country will remain overwhelming young in a global context due to high fertility and birth rates. Urbanisation…

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